Dambudziko reGungwa Dzvuku rinoenderera mberi!Kungwarira kuchiri kudikanwa, uye chinhu ichi hachigoni kufuratirwa

Chii Industrial Co., LTD.(inozonzi "What shares") (Zvita 24) yakapa chiziviso chekuti kambani uye Luoyang Guohong Investment Holding Group Co., LTD.
Sezvo kusimba kwebhanga guru renyika kunosvika kumagumo, inflation muhupfumi hukuru iri kuderera zvishoma nezvishoma kusvika pazvinotarisirwa.
Nekudaro, kukanganisa kuchangoburwa kwenzira yeGungwa Dzvuku kwakamutsa kushushikana kuti geopolitical zvinhu zvave zvakakosha mutyairi wekuwedzera kwemitengo kubva gore rapfuura, uye kukwira kwemitengo yekutumira uye mabhodhoro ekutengesa ketani kunogona zvakare kuve kutenderera kutsva kwevatyairi veinflation.Muna 2024, nyika ichaunza gore rakakosha resarudzo, mamiriro emitengo, ayo anotarisirwa kuve akajeka, achashanduka zvakare?

 

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Mitengo inotakura zvinhu inobata zvakanyanya pakuvharika kweGungwa Dzvuku
Kurwiswa neHouthis yeYemen pangarava dzinopfuura nemuRed Sea-Suez Canal corridor kwawedzera kubva kutanga kwemwedzi uno.Iyo nzira, iyo inoverengera inosvika gumi nembiri muzana yekutengeserana kwepasirese, kazhinji inotumira zvinhu kubva kuAsia kuenda kuEurope nekumabvazuva kweUS zviteshi.
Makambani ekutakura zvinhu ari kumanikidzwa kutsauka.Kukura kwematani ezvikepe zvemidziyo zvinosvika muGulf yeAden zvakanyura 82 muzana svondo rapfuura zvichienzaniswa nehafu yekutanga yemwedzi uno, maererano nehuwandu kubva kuClarkson Research Services.Kare, madhiramu 8.8 miriyoni emafuta nematani anoda kusvika 380 miriyoni ekutakura aipfuura nemukoto zuva rega rega, iro rinotakura chikamu chimwe muzvitatu chemota dzepasi rose.
Nzira yekuenda kuCape of Good Hope, iyo yaizowedzera 3,000 kusvika 3,500 mamaira uye kuwedzera mazuva gumi kusvika gumi nemana, yakasundira mitengo kune dzimwe nzira dzeEurasian kune dzadzo dzepamusoro mumakore anoda kusvika matatu svondo rapfuura.Shipping hofori Maersk yakazivisa kubhadharisa mazana manomwe emadhora kune makumi maviri-tsoka yakajairwa mudziyo pamutsetse wayo wekuEurope, unosanganisira $200 terminal surcharge (TDS) uye $500 peak season surcharge (PSS).Mamwe makambani akawanda ekutakura zvinhu akateverawo.
Mitengo yepamusoro yekutakura zvinhu inogona kukanganisa inflation."Mitengo yekutakura ichakwira kupfuura inotarisirwa kune vatakuri uye pakupedzisira vatengi, uye izvi zvichashandura kusvika riini mumitengo yakakwira?"akadaro Rico Luman, mukuru wezvehupfumi ku ING, mune chinyorwa.
Nyanzvi zhinji dzezvekugadzirisa zvinhu dzinotarisira kuti kana nzira yeGungwa Dzvuku ikakanganisika kweanopfuura mwedzi, iyo ketani yekugovera inozonzwa kukwira kwemitengo, uye yozopedzisira yatakura mutoro wevatengi, tichitaura, Europe inogona kurohwa kupfuura United States. .Fenicha yeSweden uye mutengesi wepamba IKEA akayambira kuti mamiriro eSuez Canal aizokonzera kunonoka uye kudzikisira kuwanikwa kwezvimwe zvigadzirwa zveIKEA.
Musika wacho uchiri kutarisa zvichangobva kuitika mumamiriro ekuchengetedza akapoteredza nzira.Pakutanga, United States yakazivisa kugadzwa kwemubatanidzwa wekuperekedza mubatanidzwa kuchengetedza kuchengetedzwa kwengarava.Maersk yakazoburitsa chirevo ichiti yakagadzirira kutangazve kutumira muGungwa Dzvuku."Parizvino tiri kushanda pahurongwa hwekuti ngarava dzekutanga dzifambe nenzira iyi nekukurumidza sezvinobvira."Mukuita izvi, zvakakoshawo kuona kuchengetedzwa kwevashandi vedu. ”
Nhau idzi dzakakonzerawo kudonha kwakanyanya muEuropean shipping index neMuvhuro.Nezvenguva yekutsikisa, webhusaiti yepamutemo yeMaersk haina kuzivisa chirevo chekutangisazve nzira.
Gore resarudzo repamusoro rinounza kusagadzikana
Seri kwedambudziko renzira yeGungwa Dzvuku, iri zvakare mucherechedzo wekutenderera kutsva kwegeopolitical njodzi yekuwedzera.
MaHouthis anonziwo akananga ngarava munzvimbo iyi kare.Asi kurwiswa kwawedzera kubva pakatanga kurwisana.Boka iri ratyisidzira kurwisa chero ngarava yarinotenda kuti iri kunanga kana kubva kuIsrael.
Kunetsana kwakaramba kuchikwira muGungwa Dzvuku mukupera kwesvondo mushure mekunge mubatanidzwa wagadzwa.Ngarava yemakemikari inotakura mureza yekuNorway yakataura kuti yakapotsa yapotsa nendege yekurwiswa, ukuwo tanker ine mureza wekuIndia yakarohwa, kunyangwe pasina akakuvara.US Central Command yakati.Zviitiko izvi zvaive 14th uye 15th kurwisa kwekutengesa kwekutengesa kubva muna Gumiguru 17, apo zvikepe zveUnited States zvakapfura drones ina.
Panguva imwecheteyo, Iran neUnited States, Israel mudunhu nenyaya ye "rhetoric" zvakare ita kuti nyika yekunze izvidye mwoyo nezvemamiriro ekutanga emamiriro ekunze kuMiddle East ichawedzera njodzi.
Asi izvo, iro rinouya ra2024 richave chairo "gore resarudzo", rine akawanda esarudzo pasi rese, kusanganisira Iran, India, Russia nezvimwe zvinotariswa, uye sarudzo dzeUS dziri kunyanya kunetseka.Kubatanidzwa kwemakakatanwa emudunhu uye kusimuka kwevane rudyi nyika kwakaitawo kuti njodzi dzezvematongerwo enyika dzive dzisingatarisike.
Sechinhu chakakosha chinokonzera kutenderera uku kwebhangi repasi rose mubereko wekuwedzera kutenderera, inflation yesimba inotungamirwa nekukwira kwemitengo yemafuta asina kuchena uye gasi rechisikigo mushure mekukwira kwemamiriro ezvinhu muUkraine hakugone kufuratirwa, uye kuputika kwengozi dzezvematongerwo enyika kune kupa. cheni yakakonzerawo mitengo yakakwira yekugadzira kwenguva yakareba.Iye zvino makore anogona kunge adzoka.Danske Bank vakati mumushumo wakatumirwa kumutori wenhau wekutanga wezvemari kuti 2024 May inoratidzira mvura mukurwisana kweRussia-Ukraine, uye zvakakosha kuti titarise kana United States neEuropean Parliament rutsigiro rwemauto kuUkraine ruchachinja, uye Sarudzo dzeUnited States dzinogona kukonzera kusagadzikana mudunhu reAsia-Pacific.
'Chiitiko chemakore mashoma apfuura chinoratidza kuti mitengo inogona kupesvedzerwa zvakanyanya nekusaziva uye kusazivikanwa,' Jim O'Neil, aimbova mukuru wezvehupfumi kuGoldman Sachs uye sachigaro weGoldman Asset Management, akadaro nguva pfupi yadarika nezve tarisiro yekukwira kwemitengo gore rinouya.
Saizvozvo, mukuru weUBS, Sergio Ermotti, akati haatendi kuti mabhanga epakati ane inflation pasi pesimba.Akanyora pakati pemwedzi uno kuti "munhu haafanire kuyedza kufanotaura mwedzi mishoma inotevera - hazvigoneke."Muitiro wacho unoratidzika kuva wakanaka, asi tinofanira kuona kana ikoku kuchipfuurira.Kana inflation muupfumi hwose hukuru hukaswedera pedyo nechikamu che2 percent, mutemo webhanga guru renyika unogona kudzikira.Munzvimbo ino, zvakakosha kuchinjika. ”

 

Kunobva: Internet


Nguva yekutumira: Zvita-28-2023