Nhau dzeChina Cotton network: Ongororo yeUnited States inyanzvi yezvenhau inozivikanwa ye "Cotton farmers Magazine" pakati paZvita 2023 yakaratidza kuti nzvimbo yekudyara donje muUnited States muna 2024 inotarisirwa kuva maekare mamiriyoni 10.19, zvichienzaniswa neUnited States Department of Agriculture muna Gumiguru 2023, nzvimbo chaiyo yekudyara yakaderedzwa nemaekare angangoita 42,000, kudzikira kwe0.5%, uye hapana shanduko yakakosha kana tichienzanisa negore rapfuura.
Ongororo yekugadzirwa kwedonje muUS muna 2023
Gore rapfuura, varimi vedonje vekuUS vaive netariro pamusoro pemikana yekurima, mitengo yedonje yaigamuchirwa, uye hunyoro hwevhu usati wadyara hwaive hwakaringana, uye matunhu mazhinji anorima donje aitarisirwa kutanga mwaka wekudyara zvakanaka. Zvisinei, mvura yakawandisa muCalifornia neTexas yakakonzera mafashamo, mimwe minda yedonje yakachinjwa kuita mimwe miriwo, uye kupisa kwakanyanya kwezhizha kwakakonzera kudzikira kukuru kwegoho redonje, kunyanya kumaodzanyemba kwakadziva kumadokero, uko kuri kuramba kuri munjodzi yekusanaya kwemvura kwakanyanya kusati kwamboitika muna 2022. Fungidziro yeUSDA yaGumiguru yemaeka mamiriyoni gumi nemakumi maviri nematatu egore ra2023 inoratidza kuti mamiriro ekunze nezvimwe zvinhu zvemusika zvakakanganisa sei fungidziro yekutanga yemaeka mamiriyoni gumi nerimwe kusvika gumi nerimwe nehafu.
Ongorora mamiriro acho ezvinhu
Ongororo iyi inoratidza kuti hukama huripo pakati pemitengo yedonje nemitengo yezvirimwa inokwikwidzana huchanyanya kukanganisa sarudzo dzekudyara. Panguva imwe chete, kukwira kwemitengo kunoramba kuripo, nyaya dzekudiwa kwedonje pasi rose, nyaya dzezvematongerwo enyika nedzenyika, uye mitengo yekugadzirwa yakakwira zvinewo zvazvinoita. Zvichibva pakuongororwa kwenguva refu kwehukama hwemitengo pakati pedonje nechibage, nzvimbo yedonje yeUS inofanira kunge iri maeka angangoita mamiriyoni gumi nesere. Zvichienderana neICE cotton futures yazvino 77 cents/paundi, corn futures 5 dollars/bushel, mutengo wazvino kupfuura wekuwedzera kwedonje gore rino wakanaka, asi mutengo wedonje refutures we77 cents zvechokwadi unokwezva varimi vedonje, dunhu redonje rinowanzo ratidza kuti mutengo wedonje refutures wakagadzikana pane anopfuura 80 cents kuwedzera chinangwa chekudyara.
Ongororo iyi inoratidza kuti muna 2024, nzvimbo yekurima donje kumaodzanyemba kwakadziva kumabvazuva kweUnited States ine maeka mamiriyoni 2.15, kudzikira kwe8%, uye nzvimbo yematunhu haizowedzeri, uye kazhinji yakagadzikana uye yadzikira. Dunhu reSouth Central rinotarisirwa kuva maeka mamiriyoni 1.65, nematunhu mazhinji akati sandara kana kuti adzikira zvishoma, neTennessee chete iri kuwedzera kudiki. Nzvimbo iri kumaodzanyemba kwakadziva kumadokero yaive maeka mamiriyoni 6.165, kudzikira kwe0.8% gore negore, nekusanaya kwemvura muna 2022 uye kupisa kwakanyanya muna 2023 kuchiri kukanganisa kugadzirwa kwedonje, asi goho rinotarisirwa kupora zvishoma. Dunhu rekumadokero, pa225,000 maeka, radzikira ne6 muzana kubva mugore rapfuura, nematambudziko emvura yekudiridza nemitengo yedonje zvichikanganisa kudyara.
Kwegore rechipiri rakatevedzana, mitengo yedonje nezvimwe zvinhu zvisingadzoreki zvakaita kuti vanhu vakapindura vasave nechivimbo chakazara nezvezvinotarisirwa kurimwa mune ramangwana, vamwe vakapindura vachitotenda kuti nzvimbo yedonje muUS inogona kudzikira kusvika pamaeka mamiriyoni 9.8, vamwe vachitenda kuti nzvimbo yacho inogona kuwedzera kusvika pamaeka mamiriyoni 10.5. Ongororo yeCotton Farmers Magazine inoratidza mamiriro emusika kubva pakupera kwaMbudzi kusvika kutanga kwaZvita 2023, apo goho redonje muUS rakanga richiri kuenderera mberi. Zvichienderana nemakore apfuura, kururama kwekufanotaura kwacho kwakanyanya, zvichipa indasitiri chikafu chinobatsira chekufunga nezvacho vasati vaburitsa ruzivo rweNCC nezvenzvimbo yavakaronga uye ruzivo rweUSDA.
Kwakabva: China Cotton Information Center
Nguva yekutumira: Ndira-05-2024