Sekureva kwefungidziro yazvino yeNational Cotton Association of the United States (NCC), nzvimbo yekudyara donje refu muUnited States muna 2024 inosvika maeka 202,000, kuwedzera kwe37.7%, tichishandisa avhareji yegoho redonje refu kwemakore anoda kusvika gumi, huwandu hwese hwedonje refu muUnited States muna 2024/25 hunotarisirwa kusvika pamapaketi 538,000 (matani 117,300).
Kugadzirwa kwedonje kwenguva refu muEgypt kwakadzikira kusvika pamatani 85,000 mumwaka wekukohwa wa2023, zvichienzaniswa nematani 125,000 gore rapera, kudzikira kwe32% gore negore. Muna 2024, nekutengeswa kwedonje muEgypt kwakaramba kwakasimba, mari yevarimi yakakwira zvakanyanya kupfuura mitengo yezvikafu nemafuta, uye gore remari ra2023/2024 rakarongwa nehurumende yeEgypt rekudyara mari yekurima nekudiridza mukukura kwe71% gore negore, nzvimbo yekudyara donje muEgypt inotarisirwa kudzoka zvakare zvakanyanya. Pamusoro pezvo, nzvimbo yekudyara yeChina neIndia, nyika mbiri huru dzinogadzira donje kwenguva refu, inotarisirwa kuratidza kudziya kwakanyanya muna 2024, uye pane mukana mukuru wekuti nzvimbo yacho igohwe kaviri uye huwandu hwese hwekurima huchawanikwa.
Zvichienderana neongororo yeindasitiri, nzvimbo yekudyara donje pasi rose muna 2024 yakawedzera zvakanyanya kana nekuda kwezvikonzero zvinotevera:
Chekutanga, kuenzanisa kwemitengo pakati pedonje refu nedonje rakanaka kwakakosha, uye kufarira kwevarimi kuchengetedza nekuwedzera kudyara donje refu kwakakwira. Sekunge purogiramu yekutumira yeDonje rePima reChina reChina reChina re2-2 46/48 (rakasimba 38/40GPT, 2023/24) yakapihwa huremu hwe220-225 cents/paundi, nepo purogiramu yekutumira yakafanana 31-336/37 (rakasimba 28/29GPT) huremu hwe101-102.5 cents/paundi, Musiyano uripo pakati pezviviri izvi ungangoita 120 cents papaundi. Kubva 2023/24, kwete chete mutengo wekutenga donje refu reXinjiang wakakwira kupfuura wedonje rakanaka, asiwo mutengo wedonje refu wakasiya donje rakanaka kumashure, uye mari inowanikwa nevarimi vanodyara donje refu yakakwira zvakanyanya kupfuura yedonje rakanaka.
Chechipiri, donje riri nani uye rinoonekwa zvakanyanya kupfuura chibage, gorosi, soyabhinzi nezvimwe zvirimwa. Kubva pamaonero ehuwandu, mutengo wedonje idzva (chibvumirano chaZvita 2024) wakaderera nemasendi 3.5 (4%) pane nguva yakafanana gore rapfuura (chibvumirano chaZvita 2023), asi mutengo wedonje rezviyo munguva imwe chete muna 2024 waderera ne20% uye soyabhinzi rakaderera ne13%. Pamusoro pezvo, huwandu hwedonje reICE hwakakwira zvakanyanya panguva yeMutambo weChirimo, nepo madonje echibage negorosi aive ari munzira inodzikira, uye mhedzisiro yemutengo wedonje yaive ichiramba ichionekwa. Ehe, donje refu rakakurumbira kune varimi kupfuura donje rakanaka rezviyo nezvimwe zvirimwa.
Chechitatu, munguva pfupi yapfuura, dunhu rekumadokero kwedonje reUnited States rePima cotton rinoramba richigamuchira mvura inonaya, hunyoro hwevhu hwavandudzika zvikuru, huwandu hwekusiyiwa huchadzikira zvakanyanya kupfuura makore maviri apfuura, uye kukura kwekudyara donje kwenguva refu uye kubereka kunotarisirwa kuva kwakasimba. Kufanotaura kwazvino kweUnited States Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration kunoratidza kuti mamiriro ekusanaya kwemvura kumaodzanyemba kwakadziva kumadokero kweUnited States gore rino achavandudzwa zvikuru, uye maitiro akanaka acharamba aripo kusvika muna Chivabvu, kufarira kudyara donje + rubatsiro rwemamiriro ekunze, dunhu rekumadokero kwedonje nenzvimbo yekumadokero kwedonje hazvingoderedzi zvakanyanya huwandu hwekusiyiwa, asiwo zvichawedzera nzvimbo inokohwewa muna 2024, uye mashandiro edonje refu achave kudzoka kwakasimba.
Kwakabva: China Cotton Information Center
Nguva yekutumira: Kukadzi-20-2024