Kubva pakupera kwaNdira kusvika pakati paKukadzi, ICE cotton futures yakatanga kukwira nekukurumidza, chibvumirano chikuru chichikwira kubva pamasendi angangoita 82 kusvika pamasendi anopfuura 96. Munguva iyi, pakanga pasina zvinhu zvakanaka mumusika wecotton, asi zvinhu zvakakosha uye divi guru zvaive zvakanyanya kuderera. Zvichitevera kudzikira kwemasheya nezvinhu zveUS, uye kudzikira kukuru kwetarisiro yekuderedzwa kwemubereko weUS, cotton futures dzakabuda kubva mukuwedzera kwemitengo ye "Lone Wolf", izvo zvinoita kuti vatori vechikamu vemusika vanzwe vanoshamisa.
Vaongorori vemangwana vekuUS vakati musika wedonje wechangobva kuitika hauna zvinhu zviri pachena zvinosimudzira hupfumi, nepo mari ichiramba ichikwira, huwandu hwekutengeserana uye nzvimbo dzakavhurika dzichiburitswa zuva rega rega, mashandiro aya asina kujairika akaoma kutsanangura, pamwe mari yakadzidza kuti musika haunzwisisi mamiriro acho ezvinhu. Kusvika Kukadzi 18, National Cotton Council yeUnited States (NCC) yakaburitsa chinangwa chayo chekudyara nzvimbo yedonje. Sekureva kweongororo yeNCC, chinangwa chedonje chekuUS muna 2024 i9.8 miriyoni maeka, kudzikira kwe3.7% kubva mugore rapfuura, izvo zvakasiyana zvakanyanya nekufanotaura kweCotton Farmers Magazine neUSDA Agricultural Outlook Forum. Kare, vaongorori vekune dzimwe nyika vanowanzo tenda kuti mutengo wedonje wakakwira nekukurumidza, kubva pamaonero ehunyanzvi hwave pedyo nenzvimbo yepamusoro yemusika, uye unotarisirwa kuve nekupikisa kwakasimba mu95-96 US. Musi wa20 Kukadzi, nekuda kwezvinhu zvakanaka zvisingatarisirwi zvekudzikira kwenzvimbo yeNCC muUnited States, ICE futures yakaderera zvakanyanya mushure mekuvhurwa kwa20 Kukadzi, uye kusvika masikati a20 Kukadzi, yakaderera yakadzikira kusvika pamasendi makumi mapfumbamwe nemaviri.
Sekureva kweUSDA Agricultural Outlook Forum, kugadzirwa kwedonje pasi rose kuchapetwa kaviri muna 2024/25, uye fungidziro yekuti kudiwa kwedonje kuchawedzera tariro. Nekuvandudzika kwehupfumi hwenyika, kugayiwa kwezvinhu zveindasitiri uye kuwedzera kwedonje, kushandiswa kwedonje kunotarisirwa kudzikira uye kukwira zvishoma, uye mitengo yedonje inotarisirwa kukwira zvishoma. Zvisinei, kunyangwe NCC ichitarisira kuti nzvimbo yedonje yeUnited States idzikire, mitengo yedonje yakakwira zvakanyanya mushure mekuburitswa kweongororo, uye mukana wekuwedzera kwenzvimbo yekudyara inoshanda munguva inotevera wakakura. Panguva imwe chete, nekuvandudzika kwemamiriro ekunze munzvimbo inogadzirwa donje yeUnited States, mukana wekuti huwandu hwedonje reUnited States risiye gore rino huchava hwakaderera zvakanyanya pane hwemakore maviri apfuura, saka mukana wekuwedzera kukuru kwekugadzirwa kwedonje yeUnited States wakakwira zvikuru. Sekureva kweUSDA Outlook Forum iripo, kugadzirwa kwedonje reUS gore rinouya kunotarisirwa kuva mabhero emamiriyoni gumi nematanhatu, akakwira zvakanyanya kupfuura mabhero emamiriyoni gumi nemaviri nemana egore rino. Sekureva kwemushumo weNCC weacreage of intend, kugadzirwa kwedonje muUS kunotarisirwa kusvika mamiriyoni 14.6 emabhero, zvakare akakwira zvakanyanya kupfuura gore rino.
Panyaya yekuwanikwa kwedonje, kunyanya kuwedzera kwehuwandu hwedonje rekuUnited States, mwero wekudiwa kwedonje kunogona kudzokororwa ndiwo musimboti wemitengo yedonje. Kunyangwe kana mamiriro ekunze akachinja, zvinotora nguva yakareba kuti kudiwa kudzokororwe. Kubva pamamiriro ezvinhu azvino, kunyangwe kugayiwa kwezvinhu kwapera, kudzorerwa kwecheni yemaindasitiri kwatanga kuoneka, asi padanho iri hakusi kukwanisa kutsigira mutengo wedonje wakakwira kudaro. Sekureva kwezvakataurwa nemusika wekunze, musika wedonje repasi rose panguva yeMutambo weChirimo wakareruka zvikuru, huwandu hwekubvunza hwefekitori hwakaderera zvikuru pane mutengo wedonje, uye mutengo weshinda yepasi rose hauna kuenderana nekumhanya kwemitengo yedonje, kana purofiti yemafekitori mumavhiki mashoma anotevera isingagone kuvimbiswa, mutengo wedonje wakakwira uchazove wakaoma kuchengetedza.
Chitubu: China Cotton Network
Nguva yekutumira: Kukadzi-21-2024